16th May 2024
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Latest polls show PP and Vox have lost some ground ahead of general election

Latest polls ahead of the general election in Spain due to be held on 23 July show that the country’s right-wing and far-right parties have lost some ground to the ruling left-wing coalition led by the socialists (PSOE).

The right-wing People’s Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party, a potential coalition ally, could still win enough seats for an absolute majority in the 350-member Spanish Congress, however, two polls released on Monday showed. But a third survey found they would fall short of an absolute majority.

The PP has led in the polls since Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez announced a surprise snap election on 29 May, after his party and its junior coalition partner, Podemos, performed poorly in regional and local elections. All polls have found the PP would need support from Vox to form a government. ALSO READ: Spain’s right-wing make significant gains in local and regional elections.

However, the right-wing parties’ margin over PSOE and Sumar, the new left-wing group which includes Podemos, has shrunk significantly in the past few days, the polls showed. ALSO READ: Podemos and 14 other left-wing groups will run in election with Díaz’s Sumar.

The PP could win between 150 and 154 seats, according to a GAD3 poll for ABC newspaper carried out on 29-30 June. An earlier GAD3 poll conducted between 5-8 June had given the PP between 150-153 seats.

But Vox fell to between 25-29 seats, down from a projection of between 33-35 in early June, GAD3 said.

A rival poll, carried out by IMOP Insights for the news website El Confidencial, saw PP and Vox winning a total of between 176-182 seats, down slightly from a range of between 180-183 two weeks earlier.

A third poll by 40DB, hired by El Pais newspaper, showed PP and Vox falling short of the 176 seats required for an absolute majority. They would win a combined 168 seats, down from 174 in 40DB’s previous poll.

Some Spanish media are putting the drop down to the pacts that PP and Vox have made in order to jointly govern in the Valencia and Extremadura regions since the 28 May regional elections. ALSO READ: Extremadura becomes third region of Spain to be jointly governed by PP & Vox.

ALSO READ: Gender violence becomes key issue in PP-Vox pacts ahead of 23 July election.

ALSO READ: Pedro Sánchez goes on the attack, labelling the PP and Vox as being both far-right.

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